RESIDENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE FUTURE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE. It is extremely important that everyone from Florida to Maine have a Hurricane Action Plan developed. Know what supplies you need, know what you would do if a storm strikes, and know how you'd stay in touch with others during the storm. It may become necessary to act on those plans prior to or during the upcoming holiday weekend.
The afternoon run of the American (GFS) model continues the theme of moving further west in the Mid Atlantic, battering Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, and New York with a variety of cyclone-related dangers. The European (ECMWF) model is also on-board with the general idea, driving the tropical cyclone into New Jersey before shifting it off the coast.
What will be key to this storm's future path is how will other weather systems and wind flow around the continent help steer the system closer or further away from the coast. This forecast model generated map shows how the storm system may come up the east coast and sit over New Jersey for some time.
Such a scenario would create significant problems at both the shore and inland with heavy rain, coastal flooding, and wind